Loved Two Plays last Night, Now I think it's more like One

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Last night I LOVED two plays... France and the Under in England game...

last night France was -175 on the ML, now down to -140
The last time this happened, it was the other side that Won. So I will either stay away from France today or bet the Sweds

Will stay with the Under in the England game.... Any Thoughts ???
 

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I am no soccer guy but according to my reading, Ukraine has one of the worst shot on goal percentages in the tournament and Sweden has a majority with something like 13 of 14 last competitive matches going over the total. Goggle gooners soccer betting tips and you read some more information from soccer buffs.
 

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The theory going round is France would to do just enough to drop down and play Spain rather than Italy, may explain the money move to the Swede. Sure doesn't make sense though might just be players hedging out France wagers. I have them to win the group so a Loss (would be bad) or tie maybe okay if england ties as well.

I played eng TT o1/1.5 with rooney back I think england can get at least one and most likely two.

If the Ukraine wins the English are out
If the English win they can win the group with a French loss or tie
If France loses by more than 2 they are stuck at 4 with a zero Goal diff not sure what the next tie break is
If france gets 1 point they are sure to go ahead.

hope that helps
 

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A draw against the Swedes will be enough to secure Les Bleus' passage into the quarter-finals of the competition, but it would not guarantee pole position, which is much coveted as it avoids a meeting with world and European champions Spain.

Prediction: While one could argue that Sweden will be carefree, the argument against that is that they will be playing without a competitive edge. France should have their gameface on and, ergo, have enough to dispose of their opponents to clinch top spot in Group D.
bol on your decision betall
 

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i've seen some solid cappers on the england under...seems 1-0 is a popular score. Smart to skip the France bet if you don't bet soccer as the main sport...overnight line movements have definitely been a sign....i don't see why France would want to play spain over italy....italy really ordinary looking all tournament and didn't impress much vs ireland....Spain hasn't done a lot either but they probably saved a lot of energy knowing qualifying was in the bag 4 months ago.

GL on the bets...i'm hoping some EPL guys come out to play today namely - Rooney Welback, Nasri and M'Villa (in two months)
 

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